View：yesterday，United States to6moon26Initial jobless claims record for the week36.410,000 people，Continue to brush last year3moon14New low for the week，This makes the US dollar index still maintain a relatively strong pattern。However, due to the fundamental changes are still limited，Therefore, copper prices are basically still in a volatile pattern.。The current situation is，The traditional peak season may gradually pass，However, some of the pent-up demand due to previously high prices may also be delayed.，If the price drops significantly，then the demand will appear。However, due to the current strength of the US dollar and the slowdown in destocking，There is also pressure above copper prices，Therefore, in such a situation，The probability of copper prices to maintain a volatile pattern is relatively high。
medium to long term，macro aspect，Global central banks will continue to maintain the current ultra-loose monetary and fiscal policies in the short term，Although this interest rate meeting，Dollar moves strongly，But to a large extent it is also an overdraft for future economic growth.。Fundamentals，CurrentlyTCPrices continue to rise，In addition, the rumors of domestic dumping of reserves have landed，Therefore, the supply side has a more negative impact on copper prices，On the demand side，China's current control of the new crown epidemic is still very successful，And the new energy and new infrastructure sector will continue to drive copper demand，However, due to the current market disruption of the Fed's rumored reserve dumping and the impact of possible tightening of central bank liquidity around the world，So overall，remain relatively neutral。
Strategy：The main contract of Shanghai copper has been fluctuating in the near future，day lineMACDunderwater golden fork，Step back below to continue to pay attention66500nearby supports，step back66500-66700You can start to lay out multiple orders in batches，stop loss66000，Target70000-75000.
focus point： Fed's monetary policy orientation 2.Dollar Index Trend 3. 2Whether quarterly demand can meet expectations 4.Policy risks intensify
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